CORPORATE FINANCE VIII: CORPORATE GOVERNANCE

WEEK 8
Thomas Noe
SBS/Balliol

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OUTLINE

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OUTLINE

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FACTS: U.S. CEOS - HOW: SALARY & PERFORMANCE BONUSES FOR U.S. CEOS

Graph of a typical CEO bonus plan structure.

Description of the Graph:

This graph illustrates a typical performance bonus structure for a CEO, often called an "80/120 plan". The x-axis represents an accounting metric (labeled "Acct. #"), such as earnings per share. The y-axis represents the "Bonus Payment".

The graph shows a red line with three distinct segments:

  1. A flat horizontal line at a low level (often zero) for performance below a certain threshold, marked as "80% x T*", where T* is the target performance level.
  2. A straight, upward-sloping line between 80% of the target and 120% of the target. In this range, the bonus payment increases linearly with performance.
  3. Another flat horizontal line at a maximum level for performance above the cap, marked as "120% x T*". This indicates the bonus is capped once performance significantly exceeds the target.
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HOW: STOCK OPTIONS

Graph of a stock option payoff diagram.

Description of the Graph:

This is a classic "hockey stick" diagram illustrating the payoff of a stock option at expiration. The x-axis represents the "Stock price" and the y-axis represents the "Option Payoff".

A red line shows the payoff profile:

  1. The line is flat at zero for all stock prices below the exercise price (labeled "Ex. price in 10 yrs." and also indicated by "Current price" for an at-the-money option). This region is labeled "out-of-the-money".
  2. At the exercise price, the line kinks upwards and then rises linearly with a slope of 1. For every dollar the stock price is above the exercise price, the option payoff increases by one dollar. This region is labeled "in-the-money".

This shows that the option holder only profits if the stock price rises above the price at which the option was granted.

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HOW: RESTRICTED STOCK AND SEVERANCE PACKAGES

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HOW: RELATIVE PERFORMANCE EVALUATION (RPE) PLANS

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OUTLINE

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FACTS: THE REST OF THE WORLD - HOW ELSEWHERE

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CEO COMPENSATION AROUND THE WORLD

Stacked bar chart of CEO compensation across various countries.

Description of the Graph:

This is a stacked bar chart showing average CEO compensation across numerous countries. The y-axis represents total compensation in USD, ranging from 0 to 3,000,000. Each bar represents a different country.

The bars are composed of four stacked segments, representing different types of pay (from bottom to top):

The most striking feature is that the bar for the United States (far left) is significantly taller than all others, exceeding $2,500,000. The composition is also different, with a very large portion coming from equity and non-equity incentive pay. Other countries like Switzerland, Canada, and the Netherlands follow, but at much lower total levels. Countries in Asia, such as China, Malaysia, and India, are shown at the far right with the lowest levels of total compensation.

FIGURE: CEO compensation around the world: From "The Executive Compensation Controversy: A Transatlantic Analysis," by Martin J. Conyon, Nuno Fernandes, Miguel A. Ferreira, Pedro Matos, and Kevin Murphy.

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OUTLINE

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TRADITIONAL THEORIES

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OUTLINE

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IDEA BEHIND PRINCIPAL/AGENT (P/A) MODEL

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A SIMPLE P/A MODEL

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ASSUMPTIONS

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EFFORT AND CASH FLOWS

Relation between managerial effort and firm cash flow
Manager's Effort $\mathbb{P}[CF=v_H]$ $\mathbb{P}[CF=v_L]$
High $p_H$ $1-p_H$
Low $p_L$ $1-p_L$
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MINIMAL COMPENSATION TO ENSURE HIGH EFFORT

$$ \underbrace{p_H i + (1-p_H)0 - c}_{\text{Pay-H}} \ge \underbrace{p_L i + (1-p_L)0}_{\text{Pay-L}} $$
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EFFORT ASSURING COMPENSATION

Or,

$$ i \ge \frac{c}{p_H - p_L} $$

The firm will chose the smallest value of i that satisfies this condition, so the optimal compensation for ensuring high effort is

$$ i^* = \frac{c}{p_H - p_L} \quad (1) $$
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VALUE OF HIGH-EFFORT ASSURING COMPENSATION

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COMPENSATION FOR HIGH EFFORT

$$ p_H \frac{c}{p_H - p_L} \ge w+c $$ $$ \max\left[p_H \frac{c}{p_H - p_L}, w+c\right] \quad (2) $$
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COMPENSATION FOR LOW EFFORT

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OPTIMAL POLICY: HIGH OR LOW EFFORT?

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OPTIMAL POLICY WITH NO P/A PROBLEM

$$ (v_H - v_L)(p_H - p_L) > c $$

the reverse inequality obtains the firm will prefer to induce low effort even when there is no P/A problem

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DISTORTIONS FROM AGENCY PROBLEM

$$ \max[p_H \frac{c}{p_H-p_L} - (w+c), 0] $$
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EFFECTS OF AGENCY CONFLICTS

The effect of agency conflicts depends on the firm's losses from reduced effort and amount of noise in the effort/performance relation

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AGENCY COSTS

Graph showing different agency cost outcomes based on model parameters.

Description of the Graph:

This graph shows how different agency problem outcomes arise depending on the underlying parameters of the firm. The x-axis is the ratio $p_L/p_H$, representing how informative performance is about effort (a lower ratio means performance is a better signal of high effort). The y-axis is the ratio $v_L/v_H$, representing the downside risk of the project (a lower ratio means a bigger drop in cash flow in the bad state).

The parameter space is divided into four colored regions, each corresponding to a different outcome:

FIGURE: Parameters for the example are as follows: $v_H=3$, $p_H=0.75$, $c=0.20$, and $w=0.05$. The other parameters, $v_L$ and $p_L$ are varied in the graph.

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OBSERVATIONS

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OUTLINE

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"AGENTS WITH OR WITHOUT PRINCIPALS" (BERTRAND & MULLAINATHAN, 2000)

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NUMBER OF HOSTILE BIDS

Line graph showing the number of hostile takeover bids over time for several countries.

Description of the Graph:

This is a time-series line graph showing the number of hostile takeover bids from 1978 to 2010. The x-axis is the year, and the y-axis is the number of bids, from 0 to 100.

There are lines for five countries. The most prominent is the blue line for the United States, which shows a dramatic surge in hostile bids starting around 1980, peaking in the late 1980s (at nearly 90 bids), and then sharply declining in the early 1990s. The green line for the United Kingdom shows a similar, though less pronounced, pattern. The lines for Germany, France, and Japan remain near zero for the entire period. This graph illustrates the "takeover wave" of the 1980s in the US and UK and its subsequent decline, which is a key institutional change discussed in the context of the "skimming" theory of CEO pay.

Source: SDC Platinum.

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"AGENTS WITH OR WITHOUT PRINCIPALS" - II

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PROBLEMS WITH SKIMMING THEORY: I

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PROBLEMS WITH SKIMMING THEORY: II

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OUTLINE

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NEWER THEORIES

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OUTLINE

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TOURNAMENT THEORY: IDEA

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COSTS OF TOURNAMENT COMPETITION: RISK-TAKING

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COSTS OF TOURNAMENT COMPETITION: SABOTAGE

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OUTLINE

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POSITIVE ASSORTATIVE MATCHING (PAM)

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MATCHING: EXAMPLE

Firm value gross of CEO compensation
Firms
CEOsGoodGreat
Good30.00034.500
Great37.5043.125
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MATCHING EQUILIBRIUM

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EQUILIBRIUM EQUATIONS: EXAMPLE

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GRAPH OF EQUILIBRIUM COMPENSATION

Graph showing the set of equilibrium CEO salaries.

Description of the Graph:

This graph shows the set of possible equilibrium salaries in the two-manager, two-firm example. The x-axis is the salary of the "Good" CEO, $s_{Good}$, and the y-axis is the salary of the "Great" CEO, $s_{Great}$. Both axes range from 0 to 40.

A single, thick, colored line is plotted, running diagonally from the bottom-left to the top-right. This line represents the set of salary pairs ($s_{Good}$, $s_{Great}$) that can exist in a stable, positive assortative matching equilibrium. Any point on this line is a possible outcome where neither firm has an incentive to poach the other's CEO. The line shows that the salaries of the two CEOs are positively correlated; if one gets paid more, the other must also be paid more to maintain the equilibrium.

FIGURE: CEO equilibrium compensation for the two CEOs

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GENERALIZING THESE IDEAS

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POSITIVE ASSORTATIVE MATCHING

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PAM EQUILIBRIUM

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WHAT DOES THIS HAVE TO DO WITH CEO COMPENSATION?

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MORAL OF THE STORY

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IMPLICATIONS OF PAM

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OUTLINE

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GOVERNANCE

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OUTLINE

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CORPORATE BOARDS: WHAT?

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FEATURES

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FEATURES

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SARBANES-OXLEY (SOX) ACT

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POST SOX FEATURES OF U.S. BOARDS

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U. K. BOARD SYSTEM

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CHANGES SINCE 2007 FINANCIAL CRISIS

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U.K. GOVERNANCE: SHAREHOLDER POWER

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TWO-TIER BOARDS

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OUTLINE

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TRADITIONAL TYPOLOGY OF GOVERNANCE SYSTEMS

Hirschman (1970) develops the classic typology of governance systems:

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HIRSCHMAN: AS MODEL

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HIRSCHMAN AND AS GOVERNANCE

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THE NEW KID ON THE BLOCK: INSTITUTIONAL UNIVERSAL OWNERS

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INSTITUTIONAL UNIVERSAL OWNERS

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EXAMPLE: LARGEST SHAREHOLDERS IN TARGET INC.

Largest shareholders in Target (large U.S. retailer) in 2017. (Schmalz, 2018)
ShareholderStake (%)
State Street9.43
BlackRock8.37
Vanguard6.73
Franklin Resources3.80
Dodge & Cox3.63
Capital Research3.34
BNY Mellon1.64
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UPDATED TYPOLOGY OF BLOCKHOLDERS

InsiderOutsider (%)
DiversifiedInstitutional
UndiversifiedFamily/Mgrs./Pvt.Hedge Fund
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INSTITUTIONAL UNIVERSAL OWNERS: MODUS OPERANDI

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HEDGE FUND INVESTORS: MODUS OPERANDI

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HEDGE FUNDS: TACTICS

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HEDGE FUNDS VS. UNIVERSAL OWNERS

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OUTLINE

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SUMMARY: COMPENSATION

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SUMMARY: GOVERNANCE